Half Marathon Prediction Formula:
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This calculator predicts your half marathon time based on your 10k race time using a scientifically validated formula. It helps runners estimate their potential performance for longer distances.
The calculator uses the following formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula accounts for the non-linear increase in difficulty as race distance increases.
Details: Accurate race time prediction helps runners set appropriate pace goals, plan training, and avoid starting too fast in longer races.
Tips: Enter your most recent 10k race time in minutes. For best results, use a time from a race where you gave maximum effort.
Q1: How accurate is this prediction?
A: It provides a good estimate for most runners, but individual factors like endurance and training specificity affect actual performance.
Q2: Does this work for elite runners?
A: Elite runners may have slightly different conversion factors due to their specialized training.
Q3: What if my half marathon time differs significantly?
A: Large discrepancies may indicate you need more endurance training or that your 10k time wasn't maximal.
Q4: Can I use this for other distances?
A: This specific formula is optimized for 10k to half marathon conversion.
Q5: Should I adjust for course difficulty?
A: Yes, consider adjusting for hills, weather, and other race-specific factors.